I believe in miracles. The fact I am in a position to get married in eleven weeks time is proof of that.
I have autism. There are physical side effects to this, such as interference with the way my brain processes incoming visuals and audio. There is also a personality issue as well in that I was behind in emotional development. In other words, I did not know how to behave in a relationship and did not know how to maintain a healthy one. I had to learn and it was not easy.
But, despite all that, despite the years of frustration, I found someone. I found Ashley Thomas in the most unlikely of places, a free online dating site called Plenty of Fish. I apparently was not using it the way every other guy did in that they were trying to hook up. Ashley, for her part, was just trying to find someone to talk to. I stumbled across her profile and sent her a message early on the morning of Friday, March 11th, 2016. We talked. We exchanged phone numbers. We made friends on Facebook. We met in person on Tuesday, March 22nd, 2016. We got into a relationship.
I understood from the beginning that this relationship had the potential to be something truly special. I made no secret of my autism right from the outset. I understood that the knowledge of my atypical mind had driven many potential dates away, but I wanted to be honest. She understood. I was able to truly be myself around her and I thrived in it.
Ashley moved out to Lawrence not long after we started dating so we could be closer to each other as I continued through school. It crossed my mind early on that I wanted to marry her, especially as I grew more comfortable with her and we got to know each other very well. We began to anticipate each other's actions and thoughts. I knew this was a relationship that was meant to last. In no time at all, she became my longest relationship.
I don't remember the exact moment I decided I wanted to spend my life with Ashley. But I do remember the moment I decided how I was going to do it. For months at the end of 2016 and the beginning of 2017, Ashley needled me for a ring. I was vague about how I was going to do it because at that time, I did not know how I was going to do it. I told her sometime in Spring, which for me is March 1st to May 31st.
On Thursday, February 9th, 2017, I was pushing carts at Walmart when it finally struck me. Our anniversary was a mere six weeks away on March 22nd and it happened to fall right during the middle of Spring Break. Taking her out on an anniversary date would be the perfect time.
The key was doing it. I had always imagined pulling an engagement surprise. Sure, she would know that a ring was coming, but she could not know the when or how. I crafted a plan; we would go to the Nelson-Atkins Museum in Kansas City, Missouri that day as part of our date. There was a lawn out in front of the museum that I would propose to her on.
On Thursday, February 23rd, after days of shopping online, I picked out the ring. I had it sent to Wichita, where I would pick it up when I was ready. In the first week of March, I started telling my family and friends that I was about to propose to Ashley so that they would not be blindsided. The surprise was meant for Ashley.
On Friday, March 10th, the ring was ready. I went down to Wichita to pick it up and came back to Lawrence. Now came the hard part, hiding it for twelve days and keeping my composure until then. It was torture. Sometimes I thought about whether I wanted to blow the secret early and propose to Ashley before the 22nd. But I was patient. I waited for the moment I had been planning for six weeks.
Wednesday, March 22nd finally arrived. We left for Lawrence and arrived at the Nelson-Atkins Museum, Ashley wholly unaware of what I was carrying in my jacket pocket. We went around the side of the building, trying to find the entrance. We ended up on the lawn I planned to propose to her at. I had wanted to look at some of the exhibits before popping the question, but we were already there and I could not keep it together anymore. The moment I had been looking forward to my entire life had arrived.
I looked out over the lawn and said what I had cooked up in my mind during the endless hours pushing carts. "Now this is the kind of lawn we could have if we were married. But for that to work, you have to answer the question I'm about to ask correctly."
I'm not sure if Ashley understood what was going on until I opened the box I had pulled out of my pocket and started to get down on one knee. My scheme had worked and she was totally caught off guard by it. She managed to nod and I slipped the ring on her finger.
It was the most terrifying and exhilarating moment in my life. But it worked out as perfectly as I imagined. We did not necessarily enjoy the museum after that as much as we could have, but that was because we were giddy over the engagement. Ashley could not stop staring at the ring.
That was the story of how I asked Ashley to marry me. The actual marriage will occur in June and much like when I asked Ashley to marry me, I'm already starting to count down by the hour.
Tuesday, March 20, 2018
Wednesday, March 7, 2018
2018 Championship Week Primer-Ivy
This is only the second year that the Ivy League has held a conference tournament. The conference had not had a tournament prior to this and gave the automatic bid to the regular season champion. In years like this year, there would have been a playoff game to break up the tie, though that no longer has a purpose with the tournament. The champion last year was Princeton, who will not have a chance to repeat this year.
The top four teams made the Ivy League tournament. The tournament will take place at the Palestra in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Semifinals-Saturday, March 10th
#4 Cornell vs. #1 Harvard
#3 Yale vs. #2 Penn
Final-Sunday, March 11th
Penn and Harvard split the season series this year, with each team winning at home. Since this game will be on Penn's home court, it stands to reason that they will do so again and make the NCAA Tournament.
Penn 74, Harvard 69
The top four teams made the Ivy League tournament. The tournament will take place at the Palestra in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Semifinals-Saturday, March 10th
#4 Cornell vs. #1 Harvard
#3 Yale vs. #2 Penn
Final-Sunday, March 11th
Penn and Harvard split the season series this year, with each team winning at home. Since this game will be on Penn's home court, it stands to reason that they will do so again and make the NCAA Tournament.
Penn 74, Harvard 69
2018 Championship Week Primer-Big West
The Big West is another conference that can be placed in the grey area between low-major and mid-major schools. The Big West more often than not produces 15 or 16 seeded teams, but sometimes, they place a higher seed that can spring an upset, such as #13 Hawaii's win over #4 California in 2016. This year, the conference champion UC Davis is straddling the line between the 14 and the 15 seed, which means an upset is not impossible, but extremely unlikely.
The top eight teams advanced to the Big West Tournament and will compete in three rounds. The semifinals will be reseeded so the lowest seeded team will play the highest seeded team. The entire tournament will take place at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California.
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 UC Riverside vs. #1 UC Davis
#5 Long Beach State vs. #4 Cal State Fullerton
#7 Cal Poly vs. #2 UC Santa Barbara
#6 Hawaii vs. #3 UC Irvine
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#6 Hawaii vs. #1 UC Davis
#5 Long Beach State vs. #2 UC Santa Barbara
Final-Saturday, March 10th
UC Davis and UC Santa Barbara beat each other on the others' home court during the season. However, UC Davis has won five games in a row whereas Santa Barbara dropped several games going into this tournament. I think that UC Davis will make the NCAA Tournament will make the tournament for the second time in a row and should have a more respectable outing than last year's trip.
UC Santa Barbara 67, UC Davis 73
The top eight teams advanced to the Big West Tournament and will compete in three rounds. The semifinals will be reseeded so the lowest seeded team will play the highest seeded team. The entire tournament will take place at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California.
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 UC Riverside vs. #1 UC Davis
#5 Long Beach State vs. #4 Cal State Fullerton
#7 Cal Poly vs. #2 UC Santa Barbara
#6 Hawaii vs. #3 UC Irvine
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#6 Hawaii vs. #1 UC Davis
#5 Long Beach State vs. #2 UC Santa Barbara
Final-Saturday, March 10th
UC Davis and UC Santa Barbara beat each other on the others' home court during the season. However, UC Davis has won five games in a row whereas Santa Barbara dropped several games going into this tournament. I think that UC Davis will make the NCAA Tournament will make the tournament for the second time in a row and should have a more respectable outing than last year's trip.
UC Santa Barbara 67, UC Davis 73
2018 Championship Week Primer-WAC
The WAC was a modestly competitive conference a few years ago, but conference realignment ravaged their ranks and left the conference scrambling to replace what they lost. Now, the WAC is composed of a handful of veteran schools and half of what used to be the Great West Conference. Since realignment, no WAC team has won a game in the NCAA Tournament. New Mexico State will have a decent chance to win an NCAA Tournament game if they win this conference tournament as they are projected to be on the 12 line, which is a ripe place for an upset.
All eight teams will participate in the conference tournament that will take place in three rounds. The entire tournament will take place at the Orleans Arena in Paradise, Nevada.
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 Chicago State vs. #1 New Mexico State
#5 UT Rio Grande Valley vs. #4 Seattle
#7 Cal State Bakersfield vs. #2 Utah Valley
#6 UMKC vs. #3 Grand Canyon
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 Seattle vs. #1 New Mexico State
#3 Grand Canyon vs. #2 Utah Valley
Final-Saturday, March 10th
New Mexico State has won the WAC Tournament and gone to the NCAA Tournament five out of the last six years. This streak started before the WAC saw its roster get turned over. I don't think this year will break that streak and the Aggies will make the NCAA Tournament yet again.
Grand Canyon 67, New Mexico State 78
All eight teams will participate in the conference tournament that will take place in three rounds. The entire tournament will take place at the Orleans Arena in Paradise, Nevada.
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 Chicago State vs. #1 New Mexico State
#5 UT Rio Grande Valley vs. #4 Seattle
#7 Cal State Bakersfield vs. #2 Utah Valley
#6 UMKC vs. #3 Grand Canyon
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 Seattle vs. #1 New Mexico State
#3 Grand Canyon vs. #2 Utah Valley
Final-Saturday, March 10th
New Mexico State has won the WAC Tournament and gone to the NCAA Tournament five out of the last six years. This streak started before the WAC saw its roster get turned over. I don't think this year will break that streak and the Aggies will make the NCAA Tournament yet again.
Grand Canyon 67, New Mexico State 78
2018 Championship Week Primer-American
Wichita State left the Missouri Valley and came to the American conference this year. The Shockers were expected to compete for the American regular season title in their first year in the league. However, with a one point loss on Sunday, Wichita State lost their chance to win the regular season title. That distinction instead went to the team that beat them: Cincinnati. The Bearcats, Shockers, and Houston are expected to represent this conference in the NCAA Tournament.
The tournament will feature all twelve teams playing in four rounds. The top four teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida.
First Round-Thursday, March 8th
#9 SMU vs. #8 Connecticut
#12 South Florida vs. #5 Memphis
#10 Tulane vs. #7 Temple
#11 East Carolina vs. #6 Central Florida
Quarterfinals-Friday, March 9th
#8 Connecticut vs. #1 Cincinnati
#5 Memphis vs. #4 Tulsa
#10 Tulane vs. #2 Wichita State
#6 Central Florida vs. #3 Houston
Semifinals-Saturday, March 10th
#5 Memphis vs. #1 Cincinnati
#3 Houston vs. #2 Wichita State
Final-Sunday, March 11th
It is fitting that the American final is a rubber match between the two best teams in the league. They each won on the other's home floor, which would make the idea of who would win on a neutral court anyone's guess. If the Shockers can get their defense going, then they will win this game and the automatic bid to the tournament field announced later that day.
Wichita State 65, Cincinnati 61
The tournament will feature all twelve teams playing in four rounds. The top four teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Amway Center in Orlando, Florida.
First Round-Thursday, March 8th
#9 SMU vs. #8 Connecticut
#12 South Florida vs. #5 Memphis
#10 Tulane vs. #7 Temple
#11 East Carolina vs. #6 Central Florida
Quarterfinals-Friday, March 9th
#8 Connecticut vs. #1 Cincinnati
#5 Memphis vs. #4 Tulsa
#10 Tulane vs. #2 Wichita State
#6 Central Florida vs. #3 Houston
Semifinals-Saturday, March 10th
#5 Memphis vs. #1 Cincinnati
#3 Houston vs. #2 Wichita State
Final-Sunday, March 11th
It is fitting that the American final is a rubber match between the two best teams in the league. They each won on the other's home floor, which would make the idea of who would win on a neutral court anyone's guess. If the Shockers can get their defense going, then they will win this game and the automatic bid to the tournament field announced later that day.
Wichita State 65, Cincinnati 61
2018 Championship Week Primer-Conference USA
The Conference USA was overturned by conference realignment at the beginning of this decade, but in the end, actually gained more teams than they lost. One of the teams that transferred to C-USA was Middle Tennessee. In 2016, the Blue Raiders exploded onto the national scene as a dangerous mid-major when they toppled national title contender Michigan State in the first round as a 15 seed. They staged another upset last year, brushing aside Minnesota as a 12 seed. This year, Middle Tennessee may end up in the NCAA Tournament regardless of what happens in the C-USA tournament, but that is a theory they would not want to test.
The top twelve teams in the conference made the tournament out of a possible fourteen. The top four teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Ford Center at the Star in Frisco, Texas.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Southern Miss vs. #8 Florida International
#12 UTEP vs. #5 UTSA
#10 Louisiana Tech vs. #7 North Texas
#11 FAU vs. #6 UAB
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 Florida International vs. #1 Middle Tennessee
#5 UTSA vs. #4 Marshall
#7 Louisiana Tech vs. #2 Old Dominion
#6 UAB vs. #3 Western Kentucky
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 Marshall vs. #1 Middle Tennessee
#6 UAB vs. #2 Old Dominion
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Middle Tennessee should be safe for the tournament if they make it to the final. Still, I don't expect the Blue Raiders to leave that to chance and will get the automatic bid by winning this game.
Old Dominion 62, Middle Tennessee 69
The top twelve teams in the conference made the tournament out of a possible fourteen. The top four teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Ford Center at the Star in Frisco, Texas.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Southern Miss vs. #8 Florida International
#12 UTEP vs. #5 UTSA
#10 Louisiana Tech vs. #7 North Texas
#11 FAU vs. #6 UAB
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 Florida International vs. #1 Middle Tennessee
#5 UTSA vs. #4 Marshall
#7 Louisiana Tech vs. #2 Old Dominion
#6 UAB vs. #3 Western Kentucky
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 Marshall vs. #1 Middle Tennessee
#6 UAB vs. #2 Old Dominion
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Middle Tennessee should be safe for the tournament if they make it to the final. Still, I don't expect the Blue Raiders to leave that to chance and will get the automatic bid by winning this game.
Old Dominion 62, Middle Tennessee 69
2018 Championship Week Primer-Big East
The Big East is not the sixteen team behemoth it once was, but it has not lost a step in competitiveness on the national scene. Villanova won a national championship in 2016 and this year, both Villanova and Xavier are expected to be given top seeds in the NCAA Tournament, which is the only conference with that distinction as of right now (The ACC would get two if Duke supplanted Kansas). Unless one or both teams lose before the Big East final, this current projection will not change either.
The Big East will feature all ten teams playing if four rounds. The top six teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place in Madison Square Garden in New York.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 St. John's vs. #8 Georgetown
#10 DePaul vs. #7 Marquette
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#9 St. John's vs. #1 Xavier
#5 Providence vs. #4 Creighton
#7 Marquette vs. #2 Villanova
#6 Butler vs. #3 Seton Hall
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#5 Providence vs. #1 Xavier
#3 Seton Hall vs. #2 Villanova
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Xavier and Villanova were miles ahead of the Big East this year, though they both took multiple losses during the season. Two of Xavier's three losses in conference were to Villanova in lopsided affairs. I would not be surprised if the Musketeers broke through this time, but it is more likely the Wildcats get the sweep and the automatic bid.
Villanova 84, Xavier 78
The Big East will feature all ten teams playing if four rounds. The top six teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place in Madison Square Garden in New York.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 St. John's vs. #8 Georgetown
#10 DePaul vs. #7 Marquette
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#9 St. John's vs. #1 Xavier
#5 Providence vs. #4 Creighton
#7 Marquette vs. #2 Villanova
#6 Butler vs. #3 Seton Hall
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#5 Providence vs. #1 Xavier
#3 Seton Hall vs. #2 Villanova
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Xavier and Villanova were miles ahead of the Big East this year, though they both took multiple losses during the season. Two of Xavier's three losses in conference were to Villanova in lopsided affairs. I would not be surprised if the Musketeers broke through this time, but it is more likely the Wildcats get the sweep and the automatic bid.
Villanova 84, Xavier 78
Tuesday, March 6, 2018
2018 Championship Week Primer-Big 12
If there was any year that Kansas should have lost the Big 12, this would've been it. The Jayhawks had a depleted roster and a far weaker interior presence than years prior, but managed to win the conference by two games anyway. It wasn't easy; the Jayhawks lost three home games and got swept for the first time in the Bill Self era. But somehow, they won the title and in doing so, set an NCAA record with 14 conference titles in a row.
The Big 12 Tournament will take place in four rounds with all ten teams. The top six teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Oklahoma vs. #8 Oklahoma State
#10 Iowa State vs. #7 Texas
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Oklahoma vs. #1 Kansas
#5 TCU vs. #4 Kansas State
#7 Texas vs. #2 Texas Tech
#6 Baylor vs. #3 West Virginia
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 Kansas State vs. #1 Kansas
#6 Baylor vs. #2 Texas Tech
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Texas Tech has the ability to win this tournament and go far in March thanks to their defense. However, they've lost a step due to the POY candidate Keenan Evans suffering from a toe injury. Playing three games in three days won't help either. Kansas is the favorite to win the tournament, but with as brutal as the Big 12 has been, any team can win. I just have to make a deterministic choice.
Texas Tech 65, Kansas 68
2018 Championship Week Primer-SEC
Since 2010, the team that has won the SEC has either been Kentucky or Florida. This year, however, there was not only one new champion, but a second one as well. Auburn and Tennessee split the conference championship this year, while Florida and Kentucky remained well behind. Besides the new champion, the SEC is expected to send at least seven teams to the NCAA Tournament, much more than they have in recent years. This should not come as a surprise that the SEC is on the upswing given that they won the Big 12/SEC challenge for the first time this year.
All fourteen teams will participate in the SEC Tournament this year in five rounds. The top four teams received a double bye to the quarterfinals and the fifth through tenth seeded teams received a bye to the second round. The entire tournament will be held at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#13 Vanderbilt vs. #12 Georgia
#14 Ole Miss vs. #11 South Carolina
Second Round-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Alabama vs. #8 Texas A&M
#13 Vanderbilt vs. #5 Missouri
#10 LSU vs. #7 Mississippi State
#11 South Carolina vs. #6 Arkansas
Quarterfinals-Friday, March 9th
#8 Texas A&M vs. #1 Auburn
#5 Missouri vs. #4 Kentucky
#10 LSU vs. #2 Tennessee
#11 South Carolina vs. #3 Florida
Semifinals-Saturday, March 10th
#8 Texas A&M vs. #4 Kentucky
#3 Florida vs. #2 Tennessee
Final-Sunday, March 11th
Tennessee swept Kentucky this year, something that has not happened in some time. Despite the difficulty in winning three games against the same team in one year, I think the Volunteers will be able to manage it and clinch an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament.
Kentucky 65, Tennessee 70
2018 Championship Week Primer-Southland
The Southland is expected to field a 16 seed in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament for the second year in a row. In recent years, that had not been the case; Brad Underwood led Stephen F. Austin to dominance in the Southland, which translated into higher seeds and even multiple tournament wins. But Underwood is gone now and the Southland as a whole has been negatively affected by it. Whether the Southland can become a threat in the NCAA Tournament remains to be seen, but it certainly isn't this year.
The Southland tournament will feature the top eight teams in the conference playing in four rounds. The top two teams received a double bye to the semifinals and the third and fourth seed got a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Merrell Center in Katy, Texas.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#8 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs. #5 New Orleans
#7 Central Arkansas vs. #6 Lamar
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#5 New Orleans vs. #4 Sam Houston State
#7 Central Arkansas vs. #3 Stephen F. Austin
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#5 New Orleans vs. #1 SE Louisiana
#3 Stephen F. Austin vs. #2 Nicholls
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Southeastern Louisiana is riding a long winning streak and it could not come at a better time. It got them a share of the conference championship and gave them the coveted double bye. The Lions have only been to the NCAA Tournament once and they are about to make a second time with a win here.
Stephen F. Austin 68, SE Louisiana 76
The Southland tournament will feature the top eight teams in the conference playing in four rounds. The top two teams received a double bye to the semifinals and the third and fourth seed got a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Merrell Center in Katy, Texas.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#8 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs. #5 New Orleans
#7 Central Arkansas vs. #6 Lamar
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#5 New Orleans vs. #4 Sam Houston State
#7 Central Arkansas vs. #3 Stephen F. Austin
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#5 New Orleans vs. #1 SE Louisiana
#3 Stephen F. Austin vs. #2 Nicholls
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Southeastern Louisiana is riding a long winning streak and it could not come at a better time. It got them a share of the conference championship and gave them the coveted double bye. The Lions have only been to the NCAA Tournament once and they are about to make a second time with a win here.
Stephen F. Austin 68, SE Louisiana 76
2018 Championship Week Primer-Atlantic 10
The Atlantic 10 saw much upheaval when realignment swept the college basketball landscape at the beginning of this decade. However, they managed to come out as one of the top mid-majors with 14 teams now, making the "10" a bit of a misnomer. This year, the A-10 is a bit down, with only two teams being seriously considered for the NCAA Tournament. With the seed lines these teams are straddling, it is entirely possible that the A-10 could pick up a win or two in the NCAA Tournament.
All fourteen teams will participate in the tournament in five rounds. The top four teams got a double bye to the quarterfinals and the fifth through tenth seeded teams got a single bye to the second round. The entire tournament will take place at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#13 Massachusetts vs. #12 La Salle
#14 Fordham vs. #11 George Washington
Second Round-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Dayton vs. #8 VCU
#12 La Salle vs. #5 George Mason
#10 Duquesne vs. #7 Richmond
#11 George Washington vs. #6 Saint Louis
Quarterfinals-Friday, March 9th
#9 Dayton vs. #1 Rhode Island
#5 George Mason vs. #4 Saint Joseph's
#7 Richmond vs. #2 St. Bonaventure
#6 Saint Louis vs. #3 Davidson
Semifinals-Saturday, March 10th
#4 Saint Joseph's vs. #1 Rhode Island
#3 Davidson vs. #2 St. Bonaventure
Final-Sunday, March 11th
Depending on whether St. Bonaventure could be said to be safely in the field at this point would determine whether the Atlantic 10 would be stealing a bid. If the Bonnies were out anyway, then this champion and Rhode Island would be the two teams in, if not, then there would be a bid thief that would shrink the bubble. I think that bid thief would be Davidson, who would make their first tournament appearance since 2015.
Saint Joseph's 71, Davidson 80
All fourteen teams will participate in the tournament in five rounds. The top four teams got a double bye to the quarterfinals and the fifth through tenth seeded teams got a single bye to the second round. The entire tournament will take place at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#13 Massachusetts vs. #12 La Salle
#14 Fordham vs. #11 George Washington
Second Round-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Dayton vs. #8 VCU
#12 La Salle vs. #5 George Mason
#10 Duquesne vs. #7 Richmond
#11 George Washington vs. #6 Saint Louis
Quarterfinals-Friday, March 9th
#9 Dayton vs. #1 Rhode Island
#5 George Mason vs. #4 Saint Joseph's
#7 Richmond vs. #2 St. Bonaventure
#6 Saint Louis vs. #3 Davidson
Semifinals-Saturday, March 10th
#4 Saint Joseph's vs. #1 Rhode Island
#3 Davidson vs. #2 St. Bonaventure
Final-Sunday, March 11th
Depending on whether St. Bonaventure could be said to be safely in the field at this point would determine whether the Atlantic 10 would be stealing a bid. If the Bonnies were out anyway, then this champion and Rhode Island would be the two teams in, if not, then there would be a bid thief that would shrink the bubble. I think that bid thief would be Davidson, who would make their first tournament appearance since 2015.
Saint Joseph's 71, Davidson 80
2018 Championship Week Primer-Pac-12
When Oregon upset Kansas in the Midwest Regional Final last year and made the Final Four, they were the first Pac-12 team to make the game's biggest stage since 2008. Another run seems unlikely this year, however, as the Pac-12 is down this year as compared to last year. The Pac-12 champion Arizona is hanging around the four or the five seed line, and there are only three or four teams projected to go dancing from this conference overall.
The tournament will have all 12 teams playing in four rounds. The top four teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Arizona State vs. #8 Colorado
#12 California vs. #5 Stanford
#10 Oregon State vs. #7 Washington
#11 Washington State vs. #6 Oregon
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Arizona State vs. #1 Arizona
#5 Stanford vs. #4 UCLA
#10 Oregon State vs. #2 USC
#6 Oregon vs. #3 Utah
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 UCLA vs. #1 Arizona
#3 Utah vs. #2 USC
Final-Saturday, March 10th
These crosstown rivals may or may not be on the good side of the bubble going into the tournament, so it is tough to say if the winner of this game could be considered a bid thief. Regardless, these two teams met at the end of the season with UCLA getting the win and I expect that the Bruins will do so again, which would be a nice bookend to a troubled season.
UCLA 78, USC 69
The tournament will have all 12 teams playing in four rounds. The top four teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Arizona State vs. #8 Colorado
#12 California vs. #5 Stanford
#10 Oregon State vs. #7 Washington
#11 Washington State vs. #6 Oregon
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Arizona State vs. #1 Arizona
#5 Stanford vs. #4 UCLA
#10 Oregon State vs. #2 USC
#6 Oregon vs. #3 Utah
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 UCLA vs. #1 Arizona
#3 Utah vs. #2 USC
Final-Saturday, March 10th
These crosstown rivals may or may not be on the good side of the bubble going into the tournament, so it is tough to say if the winner of this game could be considered a bid thief. Regardless, these two teams met at the end of the season with UCLA getting the win and I expect that the Bruins will do so again, which would be a nice bookend to a troubled season.
UCLA 78, USC 69
2018 Championship Week Primer-Mountain West
In 2013, the Mountain West had more teams in the NCAA Tournament than some power conferences and its champion, New Mexico, was a #3 seed in that tournament. Since then, the Mountain West has seen a steep decline in its standing among other conferences. In 2016 and 2017, the conference only had one team in the NCAA Tournament and will do so again unless somebody besides Nevada wins this tournament and steals a bid.
All eleven teams will take part in this tournament that will take place across four rounds. The top five teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Thomas and Mack Center on the campus of UNLV in Las Vegas, Nevada.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Air Force vs. #8 UNLV
#11 San Jose State vs. #6 Wyoming
#10 Colorado State vs. #7 Utah State
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Air Force vs. #1 Nevada
#5 San Diego State vs. #4 Fresno State
#7 Utah State vs. #2 Boise State
#6 Wyoming vs. #3 New Mexico
Semfinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 Fresno State vs. #1 Nevada
#3 New Mexico vs. #2 Boise State
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Nevada was not the runaway champion of the Mountain West like some other teams were in other conferences, but they still went 15-3 in this league and won the conference by multiple games. They're going to the NCAA Tournament regardless of this outcome. They will only make it a formality here.
Boise State 70, Nevada 77
All eleven teams will take part in this tournament that will take place across four rounds. The top five teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Thomas and Mack Center on the campus of UNLV in Las Vegas, Nevada.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Air Force vs. #8 UNLV
#11 San Jose State vs. #6 Wyoming
#10 Colorado State vs. #7 Utah State
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Air Force vs. #1 Nevada
#5 San Diego State vs. #4 Fresno State
#7 Utah State vs. #2 Boise State
#6 Wyoming vs. #3 New Mexico
Semfinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 Fresno State vs. #1 Nevada
#3 New Mexico vs. #2 Boise State
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Nevada was not the runaway champion of the Mountain West like some other teams were in other conferences, but they still went 15-3 in this league and won the conference by multiple games. They're going to the NCAA Tournament regardless of this outcome. They will only make it a formality here.
Boise State 70, Nevada 77
2018 Championship Week Primer-Sun Belt
The Sun Belt has basically had its roster of schools overturned in the wake of conference realignment that rocked college basketball in the early years of this decade. The Sun Belt did not fold into insolvency, but instead picked up a number of teams from other conferences to replace those that were lost. Currently, there are twelve teams in the Sun Belt, which is a respectable number. The Sun Belt has fluctuated as far as its competitiveness in the NCAA Tournament as well. Sometimes, the conference fields a 16 seed, other years, the Sun Belt champion is as high as a 12, like Little Rock was in 2016 when they upset #5 seed Purdue. This year's champion, Louisiana, is projected to be around a 13 seed.
All 12 teams will participate in this tournament across four rounds. The top four teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Lake Front Arena in New Orleans, Louisiana.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Texas State vs. #8 Coastal Carolina
#12 Little Rock vs. #5 Appalachian State
#10 South Alabama vs. #7 Troy
#11 Arkansas State vs #6 Louisiana-Monroe
Quarterfinals-Friday, March 9th
#9 Texas State vs. #1 Louisiana
#5 Appalachian State vs. #4 Texas-Arlington
#7 Troy vs. #2 Georgia State
#11 Arkansas State vs. #3 Georgia Southern
Semifinals-Saturday, March 10th
#5 Appalachian State vs. #1 Louisiana
#7 Troy vs. #3 Georgia Southern
Final-Sunday, March 11th
Louisiana won this conference by four games this year and was never truly threatened on their way to the Sun Belt title. It stands to reason that they would continue this trend through this tournament and make them a dangerous team to play in the NCAA Tournament. The Ragin' Cajuns will win this tournament, then sit back and watch their name be called on the Selection Show hours later.
Georgia Southern 74, Louisiana 82
All 12 teams will participate in this tournament across four rounds. The top four teams received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Lake Front Arena in New Orleans, Louisiana.
First Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Texas State vs. #8 Coastal Carolina
#12 Little Rock vs. #5 Appalachian State
#10 South Alabama vs. #7 Troy
#11 Arkansas State vs #6 Louisiana-Monroe
Quarterfinals-Friday, March 9th
#9 Texas State vs. #1 Louisiana
#5 Appalachian State vs. #4 Texas-Arlington
#7 Troy vs. #2 Georgia State
#11 Arkansas State vs. #3 Georgia Southern
Semifinals-Saturday, March 10th
#5 Appalachian State vs. #1 Louisiana
#7 Troy vs. #3 Georgia Southern
Final-Sunday, March 11th
Louisiana won this conference by four games this year and was never truly threatened on their way to the Sun Belt title. It stands to reason that they would continue this trend through this tournament and make them a dangerous team to play in the NCAA Tournament. The Ragin' Cajuns will win this tournament, then sit back and watch their name be called on the Selection Show hours later.
Georgia Southern 74, Louisiana 82
Monday, March 5, 2018
2018 Championship Week Primer-SWAC
If there is a league in the NCAA that is disproportionately affected by APR sanctions, it is the SWAC. This year, two of the ten teams in this conference were ineligible for postseason play because of APR violations. One of these team, Grambling, happened to have won the conference this year. Though they won the regular season title, the Tigers will have no chance to play for an NCAA berth, nor even their reward for winning the regular season title in the NIT.
The remaining eight teams that are eligible will play in three rounds. The first round will take place at campus sites at the higher seed and the semifinals and final will take place at the Delmar Fieldhouse in Houston, Texas.
Quarterfinals-Tuesday, March 6th
#8 Mississippi Valley State vs. #1 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#5 Jackson State vs. #4 Southern
#7 Alcorn State vs. #2 Prairie View A&M
#6 Alabama State vs. #3 Texas Southern
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#5 Jackson State vs. #1 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#3 Texas Southern vs. #2 Prairie View A&M
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Texas Southern has had modest success as SWAC teams go in this decade, notching a couple of regular season wins against power conference teams a few years ago. However, the last time a SWAC team won an NCAA Tournament game was in the play in game in 2010 and the last time a SWAC team got a win in the Round of 64 was in 1993. With the SWAC champion bound for the First Four, a win is possible, a second is extremely unlikely. But for these low major conferences, just getting there is the ultimate goal.
Jackson State 74, Texas Southern 80
The remaining eight teams that are eligible will play in three rounds. The first round will take place at campus sites at the higher seed and the semifinals and final will take place at the Delmar Fieldhouse in Houston, Texas.
Quarterfinals-Tuesday, March 6th
#8 Mississippi Valley State vs. #1 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#5 Jackson State vs. #4 Southern
#7 Alcorn State vs. #2 Prairie View A&M
#6 Alabama State vs. #3 Texas Southern
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#5 Jackson State vs. #1 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#3 Texas Southern vs. #2 Prairie View A&M
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Texas Southern has had modest success as SWAC teams go in this decade, notching a couple of regular season wins against power conference teams a few years ago. However, the last time a SWAC team won an NCAA Tournament game was in the play in game in 2010 and the last time a SWAC team got a win in the Round of 64 was in 1993. With the SWAC champion bound for the First Four, a win is possible, a second is extremely unlikely. But for these low major conferences, just getting there is the ultimate goal.
Jackson State 74, Texas Southern 80
2018 Championship Week Primer-ACC
Buoyed by a top recruiting class, Duke started the season ranked first in the nation and wide favorites to cut down the nets in San Antonio. It probably went without saying that they would take the ACC as well. However, the Blue Devils did not win the ACC, nor did they come even close. Virginia, picked sixth in the ACC, won the conference by four games and is the top ranked team in the country. Regardless of what happens in this tournament, the Cavaliers will most likely stay as the top seeded team in the NCAA Tournament, and the new favorite to cut down the nets next month.
All fifteen teams in the ACC will participate in this tournament that will take place in five rounds. The top four teams received a double bye to the quarterfinals, while the teams seeded fifth through ninth received a single bye to the second round. The entire tournament will take place in the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.
First Round-Tuesday, March 6th
#13 Georgia Tech vs. #12 Boston College
#15 Pittsburgh vs. #10 Notre Dame
#14 Wake Forest vs. #11 Syracuse
Second Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Louisville vs. #8 Florida State
#13 Georgia Tech vs. #5 NC State
#10 Notre Dame vs. #7 Virginia Tech
#11 Syracuse vs. #6 North Carolina
Quartefinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 Florida State vs. #1 Virginia
#5 NC State vs. #4 Clemson
#10 Notre Dame vs. #2 Duke
#6 North Carolina vs. #3 Miami
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 Clemson vs. #1 Virginia
#6 North Carolina vs. #2 Duke
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Virginia ran through the ACC this year, only losing one game to Virginia Tech. They have held opponents over the entire season to a staggering 53 points a game, not allowing a single opponent to get to 70 points all year. They may only average 67 points themselves, but with a defense like that, offense isn't necessary. This defense will be the reason the Cavaliers win this tournament, just as they won the regular season title.
North Carolina 57, Virginia 65
All fifteen teams in the ACC will participate in this tournament that will take place in five rounds. The top four teams received a double bye to the quarterfinals, while the teams seeded fifth through ninth received a single bye to the second round. The entire tournament will take place in the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.
First Round-Tuesday, March 6th
#13 Georgia Tech vs. #12 Boston College
#15 Pittsburgh vs. #10 Notre Dame
#14 Wake Forest vs. #11 Syracuse
Second Round-Wednesday, March 7th
#9 Louisville vs. #8 Florida State
#13 Georgia Tech vs. #5 NC State
#10 Notre Dame vs. #7 Virginia Tech
#11 Syracuse vs. #6 North Carolina
Quartefinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 Florida State vs. #1 Virginia
#5 NC State vs. #4 Clemson
#10 Notre Dame vs. #2 Duke
#6 North Carolina vs. #3 Miami
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 Clemson vs. #1 Virginia
#6 North Carolina vs. #2 Duke
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Virginia ran through the ACC this year, only losing one game to Virginia Tech. They have held opponents over the entire season to a staggering 53 points a game, not allowing a single opponent to get to 70 points all year. They may only average 67 points themselves, but with a defense like that, offense isn't necessary. This defense will be the reason the Cavaliers win this tournament, just as they won the regular season title.
North Carolina 57, Virginia 65
Sunday, March 4, 2018
Teams That Won a Conference Championship
The regular season is over. The following teams either won a share or won a conference title outright.
America East-Vermont
American-Cincinnati
Atlantic 10-Rhode Island
ACC-Virginia
Atlantic Sun-Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12-Kansas
Big East-Xavier
Big Sky-Montana
Big South-UNC Asheville
Big Ten-Michigan State
Big West-UC Davis
Colonial-Charleston, Northeastern
Conference USA-Middle Tennessee
Horizon-Northern Kentucky
Ivy-Penn, Harvard
MAAC-Rider, Canisius
MAC-Buffalo
MEAC-Bethune-Cookman, Hampton, Savannah State
Missouri Valley-Loyola-Chicago
Mountain West-Nevada
Northeast-Wagner
Ohio Valley-Murray State
Pac-12-Arizona
Patriot-Bucknell
SEC-Auburn, Tennessee
Southern-UNC Greensboro
Southland-Nicholls, Southeastern Louisiana
SWAC-Grambling
Summit League-South Dakota State
Sun Belt-Louisiana
West Coast-Gonzaga
America East-Vermont
American-Cincinnati
Atlantic 10-Rhode Island
ACC-Virginia
Atlantic Sun-Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12-Kansas
Big East-Xavier
Big Sky-Montana
Big South-UNC Asheville
Big Ten-Michigan State
Big West-UC Davis
Colonial-Charleston, Northeastern
Conference USA-Middle Tennessee
Horizon-Northern Kentucky
Ivy-Penn, Harvard
MAAC-Rider, Canisius
MAC-Buffalo
MEAC-Bethune-Cookman, Hampton, Savannah State
Missouri Valley-Loyola-Chicago
Mountain West-Nevada
Northeast-Wagner
Ohio Valley-Murray State
Pac-12-Arizona
Patriot-Bucknell
SEC-Auburn, Tennessee
Southern-UNC Greensboro
Southland-Nicholls, Southeastern Louisiana
SWAC-Grambling
Summit League-South Dakota State
Sun Belt-Louisiana
West Coast-Gonzaga
WAC-New Mexico State
2018 Championship Week Primer-MAC
It has been since 2012 since a MAC team won an NCAA Tournament game. This last win was from a spirited run by Ohio to the Sweet 16 where they took top seeded North Carolina to overtime before falling in the Regional Semifinal. The MAC champion Buffalo is currently projected along the 13 line, where upsets do occasionally spring. It is certainly possible; Buffalo played Syracuse and AAC champion Cincinnati extremely close earlier in the season.
The MAC tournament will feature all 12 teams playing in four rounds. The top four seeds received a bye to the quarterfinals. The first round will take place on campus sites on Monday, March 5th and the rest of the tournament will take place at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio from March 8th to the 10th.
First Round-Monday, March 5th
#9 Bowling Green at #8 Central Michigan
#12 Northern Illinois at #5 Kent State
#10 Ohio at #7 Miami (OH)
#11 Akron at #6 Western Michigan
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 Central Michigan vs. #1 Buffalo
#12 Northern Illinois vs. #4 Ball State
#10 Ohio vs. #2 Toledo
#6 Western Michigan vs. #3 Eastern Michigan
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#12 Northern Illinois vs. #1 Buffalo
#6 Western Michigan vs. #2 Toledo
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Buffalo and Toledo only played one game this year, a 104 to 94 win in favor of the Bulls. I do not think Toledo will be able to win the rematch and Buffalo will make its third NCAA Tournament appearance in the last four years.
Toledo 80, Buffalo 86
The MAC tournament will feature all 12 teams playing in four rounds. The top four seeds received a bye to the quarterfinals. The first round will take place on campus sites on Monday, March 5th and the rest of the tournament will take place at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio from March 8th to the 10th.
First Round-Monday, March 5th
#9 Bowling Green at #8 Central Michigan
#12 Northern Illinois at #5 Kent State
#10 Ohio at #7 Miami (OH)
#11 Akron at #6 Western Michigan
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#8 Central Michigan vs. #1 Buffalo
#12 Northern Illinois vs. #4 Ball State
#10 Ohio vs. #2 Toledo
#6 Western Michigan vs. #3 Eastern Michigan
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#12 Northern Illinois vs. #1 Buffalo
#6 Western Michigan vs. #2 Toledo
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Buffalo and Toledo only played one game this year, a 104 to 94 win in favor of the Bulls. I do not think Toledo will be able to win the rematch and Buffalo will make its third NCAA Tournament appearance in the last four years.
Toledo 80, Buffalo 86
2018 Championship Week Primer-MEAC
Though the MEAC has produced teams that have sprung two separate 15 over 2 upsets in the NCAA Tournament, the teams that come out of this conference usually have little chance of advancing in the Big Dance. The MEAC champion has won First Four games in 2013 and 2015, but the last win a MEAC team got in the Round of 64 was Norfolk State's win over Missouri in 2012. At present, the MEAC champion is projected to be in the First Four as a 16 seed, so a Round of 64 win seems unlikely again.
All 13 teams will participate in the MEAC Tournament, which will last four rounds. The top three teams (who all shared the MEAC regular season title) received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Norfolk Scope in Norfolk, Virginia.
First Round-Monday/Tuesday, March 5/6
#9 Florida A&M vs. #8 Howard
#12 Maryland-Eastern Shore vs. #5 Norfolk State
#13 Delaware State vs. #4 North Carolina A&T
#10 South Carolina State vs. #7 Morgan State
#11 Coppin State vs. #6 North Carolina Central
Quarterfinals-Wednesday/Thursday, March 7/8
#9 Florida A&M vs. #1 Hampton
#5 Norfolk State vs. #4 North Carolina A&T
#10 South Carolina State vs. #2 Bethune-Cookman
#6 North Carolina Central vs. #3 Savannah State
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 North Carolina A&T vs. #1 Hampton
#3 Savannah State vs. #2 Bethune-Cookman
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Bethune-Cookman was leading the conference for most of the season, but suffered a loss at the end of the season that threw the MEAC into a three way tie for the regular season title. That loss was to North Carolina A&T on Senior Night no less. The Wildcats will be looking for revenge and I believe they will get it and go dancing as a result.
North Carolina A&T 76, Bethune-Cookman 80
All 13 teams will participate in the MEAC Tournament, which will last four rounds. The top three teams (who all shared the MEAC regular season title) received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the Norfolk Scope in Norfolk, Virginia.
First Round-Monday/Tuesday, March 5/6
#9 Florida A&M vs. #8 Howard
#12 Maryland-Eastern Shore vs. #5 Norfolk State
#13 Delaware State vs. #4 North Carolina A&T
#10 South Carolina State vs. #7 Morgan State
#11 Coppin State vs. #6 North Carolina Central
Quarterfinals-Wednesday/Thursday, March 7/8
#9 Florida A&M vs. #1 Hampton
#5 Norfolk State vs. #4 North Carolina A&T
#10 South Carolina State vs. #2 Bethune-Cookman
#6 North Carolina Central vs. #3 Savannah State
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#4 North Carolina A&T vs. #1 Hampton
#3 Savannah State vs. #2 Bethune-Cookman
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Bethune-Cookman was leading the conference for most of the season, but suffered a loss at the end of the season that threw the MEAC into a three way tie for the regular season title. That loss was to North Carolina A&T on Senior Night no less. The Wildcats will be looking for revenge and I believe they will get it and go dancing as a result.
North Carolina A&T 76, Bethune-Cookman 80
2018 Championship Week Primer-Big Sky
Montana represented the Big Sky conference in the NCAA Tournament three out of four years at the beginning of this decade, but has not gone dancing since 2013 when they were a 13 seed. This year, the Grizzlies are back on top of the Big Sky for the first time in years and will be looking to go back to the NCAA Tournament for the first time in half a decade. Were they to make it, they are currently projected to be on the 14 line, an area where it is not impossible to spring an upset.
The Big Sky Tournament will feature all twelve teams playing in four rounds. The top four teams won a bye to the quarterfinals. The tournament will take place at the Reno Events Center in Reno, Nevada on March 6 and March 8-10.
First Round-Tuesday, March 6th
#9 Montana State vs. #8 North Dakota
#12 Northern Arizona vs. #5 Northern Colorado
#10 Southern Utah vs. #7 Idaho State
#11 Sacramento State vs. #6 Portland State
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Montana State vs. #1 Montana
#5 Northern Colorado vs. #4 Weber State
#7 Idaho State vs. #2 Idaho
#11 Sacramento State vs. #3 Eastern Washington
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#5 Northern Colorado vs. #1 Montana
#3 Eastern Washington vs. #2 Idaho
Final-Saturday, March 10th
The only time Eastern Washington and Montana played resulted in a victory for the Eagles, which represented one of only two blemishes on Montana's Big Sky record. That game was also at Eastern Washington and the Grizzlies will be looking for revenge. Which is something I believe they will get.
Eastern Washington 67, Montana 73
The Big Sky Tournament will feature all twelve teams playing in four rounds. The top four teams won a bye to the quarterfinals. The tournament will take place at the Reno Events Center in Reno, Nevada on March 6 and March 8-10.
First Round-Tuesday, March 6th
#9 Montana State vs. #8 North Dakota
#12 Northern Arizona vs. #5 Northern Colorado
#10 Southern Utah vs. #7 Idaho State
#11 Sacramento State vs. #6 Portland State
Quarterfinals-Thursday, March 8th
#9 Montana State vs. #1 Montana
#5 Northern Colorado vs. #4 Weber State
#7 Idaho State vs. #2 Idaho
#11 Sacramento State vs. #3 Eastern Washington
Semifinals-Friday, March 9th
#5 Northern Colorado vs. #1 Montana
#3 Eastern Washington vs. #2 Idaho
Final-Saturday, March 10th
The only time Eastern Washington and Montana played resulted in a victory for the Eagles, which represented one of only two blemishes on Montana's Big Sky record. That game was also at Eastern Washington and the Grizzlies will be looking for revenge. Which is something I believe they will get.
Eastern Washington 67, Montana 73
Saturday, March 3, 2018
Teams That Can Still Win a Conference Championship-March 4th
It's that time again! The regular season is winding down and I'm going to track the teams that can still win a conference championship in the 2017-18 season. This is a measure of the teams who are not yet mathematically eliminated and is not a view of who could practically win a title. Teams in Bold are conference champions. Italics are the teams that can only share a conference title.
Today is the last day of the regular season. The only title left that can be awarded is if Wichita State were to beat Cincinnati and claim a share of the American title.
America East-Vermont
American-Cincinnati, Wichita State
Atlantic 10-Rhode Island
ACC-Virginia
Atlantic Sun-Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12-Kansas
Big East-Xavier
Big Sky-Montana
Big South-UNC Asheville
Big Ten-Michigan State
Big West-UC Davis
Colonial-Charleston, Northeastern
Conference USA-Middle Tennessee
Horizon-Northern Kentucky
Ivy-Penn, Harvard
MAAC-Rider, Canisius
MAC-Buffalo
MEAC-Bethune-Cookman, Hampton, Savannah State
Missouri Valley-Loyola-Chicago
Mountain West-Nevada
Northeast-Wagner
Ohio Valley-Murray State
Pac-12-Arizona
Patriot-Bucknell
SEC-Auburn, Tennessee
Southern-UNC Greensboro
Southland-Nicholls, Southeastern Louisiana
SWAC-Grambling
Summit League-South Dakota State
Sun Belt-Louisiana
West Coast-Gonzaga
Today is the last day of the regular season. The only title left that can be awarded is if Wichita State were to beat Cincinnati and claim a share of the American title.
America East-Vermont
American-Cincinnati, Wichita State
Atlantic 10-Rhode Island
ACC-Virginia
Atlantic Sun-Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12-Kansas
Big East-Xavier
Big Sky-Montana
Big South-UNC Asheville
Big Ten-Michigan State
Big West-UC Davis
Colonial-Charleston, Northeastern
Conference USA-Middle Tennessee
Horizon-Northern Kentucky
Ivy-Penn, Harvard
MAAC-Rider, Canisius
MAC-Buffalo
MEAC-Bethune-Cookman, Hampton, Savannah State
Missouri Valley-Loyola-Chicago
Mountain West-Nevada
Northeast-Wagner
Ohio Valley-Murray State
Pac-12-Arizona
Patriot-Bucknell
SEC-Auburn, Tennessee
Southern-UNC Greensboro
Southland-Nicholls, Southeastern Louisiana
SWAC-Grambling
Summit League-South Dakota State
Sun Belt-Louisiana
West Coast-Gonzaga
WAC-New Mexico State
Friday, March 2, 2018
Teams That Can Still Win a Conference Championship-March 2nd
It's that time again! The regular season is winding down and I'm going to track the teams that can still win a conference championship in the 2017-18 season. This is a measure of the teams who are not yet mathematically eliminated and is not a view of who could practically win a title. Teams in Bold are conference champions. Italics are the teams that can only share a conference title.
There are 2 days left in the regular season.
America East-Vermont
American-Cincinnati, Wichita State
Atlantic 10-Rhode Island
ACC-Virginia
Atlantic Sun-Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12-Kansas
Big East-Xavier, Villanova
Big Sky-Montana
Big South-UNC Asheville
Big Ten-Michigan State
Big West-UC Irvine, UC Davis, CS Fullerton, UC Santa Barbara
Colonial-Charleston, Northeastern
Conference USA-Middle Tennessee
Horizon-Northern Kentucky
Ivy-Penn, Harvard
MAAC-Rider, Canisius
MAC-Buffalo
MEAC-Bethune-Cookman, Hampton, Savannah State
Missouri Valley-Loyola-Chicago
Mountain West-Nevada
Northeast-Wagner
Ohio Valley-Murray State
Pac-12-Arizona, USC
Patriot-Bucknell
SEC-Auburn, Tennessee
Southern-UNC Greensboro
Southland-Nicholls, Southeastern Louisiana
SWAC-Grambling, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Prairie View A&M, Texas Southern
Summit League-South Dakota State
Sun Belt-Louisiana
West Coast-Gonzaga
There are 2 days left in the regular season.
America East-Vermont
American-Cincinnati, Wichita State
Atlantic 10-Rhode Island
ACC-Virginia
Atlantic Sun-Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12-Kansas
Big East-Xavier, Villanova
Big Sky-Montana
Big South-UNC Asheville
Big Ten-Michigan State
Big West-UC Irvine, UC Davis, CS Fullerton, UC Santa Barbara
Colonial-Charleston, Northeastern
Conference USA-Middle Tennessee
Horizon-Northern Kentucky
Ivy-Penn, Harvard
MAAC-Rider, Canisius
MAC-Buffalo
MEAC-Bethune-Cookman, Hampton, Savannah State
Missouri Valley-Loyola-Chicago
Mountain West-Nevada
Northeast-Wagner
Ohio Valley-Murray State
Pac-12-Arizona, USC
Patriot-Bucknell
SEC-Auburn, Tennessee
Southern-UNC Greensboro
Southland-Nicholls, Southeastern Louisiana
SWAC-Grambling, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Prairie View A&M, Texas Southern
Summit League-South Dakota State
Sun Belt-Louisiana
West Coast-Gonzaga
WAC-New Mexico State
2018 Championship Week Primer-America East
For the last couple of years, the America East has been dominated by the Vermont Catamounts. This year was no different, with Vermont winning the conference handily by three games, losing only one game to Hartford late in the season when the conference race was already decided. Vermont has proven it could be dangerous outside of the conference already; they took Kentucky down to the wire in Rupp Arena at the beginning of the season. Right now, they are projected to be a dangerous 13 seed.
The America East Tournament will feature the top eight teams in a three round tournament. The games will be hosted at campus sites, with the higher seed hosting. The semifinals will be reseeded so the highest seed will be playing the lowest seed.
Quarterfinals-Saturday, March 3rd
#8 Maine at #1 Vermont
#5 Stony Brook at #4 Albany
#7 UMass Lowell at #2 UMBC
#6 New Hampshire at #3 Hartford
Semifinals-Tuesday, March 6th
#4 Albany at #1 Vermont
#3 Hartford at #2 UMBC
Final-Saturday, March 10th
Straight chalk only rarely happens in tournaments, but this is a also a tournament hosted by home sites and each team that I have projected to win have already beaten their opponents twice this year. The America East was very by the books in that regard. The final will go the same way as well, with Vermont advancing to the NCAA Tournament.
UMBC 65, Vermont 78
2018 Championship Week Primer-The Summit League
Whereas most of the one bid leagues have little chance of winning, the Summit League usually sends teams dancing that have a shot to win. They have a recent upset in the tournament, when #12 North Dakota State beat #5 Oklahoma in 2014. This year, the Summit League champion South Dakota State is projected to land around the 13 seed line, certainly an area where an upset could spring, especially if the Summit League POY Mike Daum, who averages 23 points a game, has the game of his life.
All eight teams will participate in the Summit League tournament, which will have three rounds. The entire tournament will take place at the Denny Sanford Premier Center in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.
Quarterfinals-Saturday/Sunday, March 3rd/4th
#8 Western Illinois vs. #1 South Dakota State
#5 North Dakota State vs. #4 Fort Wayne
#7 Omaha vs. #2 South Dakota
#6 Oral Roberts vs. #3 Denver
Semifinals-Monday, March 5th
#4 Fort Wayne vs. #1 South Dakota State
#3 Denver vs. #2 South Dakota
Final-Tuesday, March 6th
South Dakota State was the best team of the conference from start to finish and I believe that this will continue in the tournament as well. Mike Daum will lead the Jackrabbits into the NCAA Tournament and be a legitimate threat to upset a higher seed.
Denver 72, South Dakota State 81
All eight teams will participate in the Summit League tournament, which will have three rounds. The entire tournament will take place at the Denny Sanford Premier Center in Sioux Falls, South Dakota.
Quarterfinals-Saturday/Sunday, March 3rd/4th
#8 Western Illinois vs. #1 South Dakota State
#5 North Dakota State vs. #4 Fort Wayne
#7 Omaha vs. #2 South Dakota
#6 Oral Roberts vs. #3 Denver
Semifinals-Monday, March 5th
#4 Fort Wayne vs. #1 South Dakota State
#3 Denver vs. #2 South Dakota
Final-Tuesday, March 6th
South Dakota State was the best team of the conference from start to finish and I believe that this will continue in the tournament as well. Mike Daum will lead the Jackrabbits into the NCAA Tournament and be a legitimate threat to upset a higher seed.
Denver 72, South Dakota State 81
2018 Championship Week Primer-Colonial
In this century, the Colonial has had two teams make miraculous runs to the Final Four as an 11 seed. These teams were George Mason in 2006 and Virginia Commonwealth in 2011. However, both of these teams have used this success to move on to the Atlantic 10, and the Colonial has suffered for it. The last time a Colonial team won an NCAA Tournament game was in 2013, when James Madison won a First Four game as a 16 seed.
The CAA Tournament will feature all ten teams playing in a four round tournament. The top six seeds received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the North Charleston Coliseum in North Charleston, South Carolina.
First Round-Saturday, March 3rd
#9 James Madison vs. #8 Drexel
#10 Elon vs. #7 Delaware
Quarterfinals-Sunday, March 4th
#8 Drexel vs. #1 Charleston
#5 Towson vs. #4 William and Mary
#7 Delaware vs. #2 Northeastern
#6 UNC Wilmington vs. #3 Hofstra
Semifinals-Monday, March 5th
#4 William and Mary vs. #1 Charleston
#6 UNC Wilmington vs. #2 Northeastern
Final-Tuesday, March 6th
Northeastern had a seven game winning streak going into the conference tournament that helped them clinch a share of the regular season title. Charleston, however, had an eleven game winning streak that was only broken at William and Mary in overtime in the last game of the season. I think that Charleston will make the NCAA Tournament by winning this game.
Northeastern 75, Charleston 82
The CAA Tournament will feature all ten teams playing in a four round tournament. The top six seeds received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the North Charleston Coliseum in North Charleston, South Carolina.
First Round-Saturday, March 3rd
#9 James Madison vs. #8 Drexel
#10 Elon vs. #7 Delaware
Quarterfinals-Sunday, March 4th
#8 Drexel vs. #1 Charleston
#5 Towson vs. #4 William and Mary
#7 Delaware vs. #2 Northeastern
#6 UNC Wilmington vs. #3 Hofstra
Semifinals-Monday, March 5th
#4 William and Mary vs. #1 Charleston
#6 UNC Wilmington vs. #2 Northeastern
Final-Tuesday, March 6th
Northeastern had a seven game winning streak going into the conference tournament that helped them clinch a share of the regular season title. Charleston, however, had an eleven game winning streak that was only broken at William and Mary in overtime in the last game of the season. I think that Charleston will make the NCAA Tournament by winning this game.
Northeastern 75, Charleston 82
Thursday, March 1, 2018
Teams That Can Still Win a Conference Championship-March 1st
It's that time again! The regular season is winding down and I'm going to track the teams that can still win a conference championship in the 2017-18 season. This is a measure of the teams who are not yet mathematically eliminated and is not a view of who could practically win a title. Teams in Bold are conference champions. Italics are the teams that can only share a conference title.
There are 3 days left in the regular season.
America East-Vermont
American-Cincinnati, Wichita State
Atlantic 10-Rhode Island
ACC-Virginia
Atlantic Sun-Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12-Kansas
Big East-Xavier, Villanova
Big Sky-Montana
Big South-UNC Asheville
Big Ten-Michigan State
Big West-UC Irvine, UC Davis, CS Fullerton, UC Santa Barbara
Colonial-Charleston, Northeastern
Conference USA-Middle Tennessee
Horizon-Northern Kentucky
Ivy-Penn, Harvard
MAAC-Rider, Canisius
MAC-Buffalo, Toledo
MEAC-Bethune-Cookman, Hampton, Savannah State
Missouri Valley-Loyola-Chicago
Mountain West-Nevada
Northeast-Wagner
Ohio Valley-Murray State
Pac-12-Arizona, USC
Patriot-Bucknell
SEC-Auburn, Tennessee
Southern-UNC Greensboro
Southland-Nicholls, Southeastern Louisiana
SWAC-Grambling, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Prairie View A&M, Texas Southern
Summit League-South Dakota State
Sun Belt-Louisiana
West Coast-Gonzaga
There are 3 days left in the regular season.
America East-Vermont
American-Cincinnati, Wichita State
Atlantic 10-Rhode Island
ACC-Virginia
Atlantic Sun-Florida Gulf Coast
Big 12-Kansas
Big East-Xavier, Villanova
Big Sky-Montana
Big South-UNC Asheville
Big Ten-Michigan State
Big West-UC Irvine, UC Davis, CS Fullerton, UC Santa Barbara
Colonial-Charleston, Northeastern
Conference USA-Middle Tennessee
Horizon-Northern Kentucky
Ivy-Penn, Harvard
MAAC-Rider, Canisius
MAC-Buffalo, Toledo
MEAC-Bethune-Cookman, Hampton, Savannah State
Missouri Valley-Loyola-Chicago
Mountain West-Nevada
Northeast-Wagner
Ohio Valley-Murray State
Pac-12-Arizona, USC
Patriot-Bucknell
SEC-Auburn, Tennessee
Southern-UNC Greensboro
Southland-Nicholls, Southeastern Louisiana
SWAC-Grambling, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Prairie View A&M, Texas Southern
Summit League-South Dakota State
Sun Belt-Louisiana
West Coast-Gonzaga
WAC-New Mexico State
2018 Championship Week Primer-Horizon League
Last year's Horizon League tournament was the epitome of March Madness. The last place team, Milwaukee, made a run all the way to the final game, where they lost to Northern Kentucky, who made the NCAA Tournament in their first year of eligibility. This year, perennial regular season champion Valparaiso is in the Missouri Valley and Northern Kentucky has continued their winning ways in taking the regular season championship.
All ten teams will be in the tournament, which will be played in four rounds. The top six seeds will receive byes to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at Little Caesars Arena in Detriot, Michigan.
First Round-Friday, March 2nd
#9 Youngstown State vs. #8 Cleveland State
#10 Detroit vs. #7 Green Bay
Quarterfinals-Saturday/Sunday, March 3rd/4th
#8 Cleveland State vs. #1 Northern Kentucky
#5 IUPUI vs. #4 Oakland
#7 Green Bay vs. #2 Wright State
#6 Milwaukee vs. #3 UIC
Semifinals-Monday, March 5th
#5 IUPUI vs. #1 Northern Kentucky
#3 UIC vs. #2 Wright State
Final-Tuesday, March 6th
Wright State had the lead in the conference for most of the season, only stumbling slightly late. Despite this, Wright State beat Northern Kentucky twice in close games. I'll think they'll do it again here and go to the NCAA Tournament.
Wright State 72, Northern Kentucky 70
All ten teams will be in the tournament, which will be played in four rounds. The top six seeds will receive byes to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at Little Caesars Arena in Detriot, Michigan.
First Round-Friday, March 2nd
#9 Youngstown State vs. #8 Cleveland State
#10 Detroit vs. #7 Green Bay
Quarterfinals-Saturday/Sunday, March 3rd/4th
#8 Cleveland State vs. #1 Northern Kentucky
#5 IUPUI vs. #4 Oakland
#7 Green Bay vs. #2 Wright State
#6 Milwaukee vs. #3 UIC
Semifinals-Monday, March 5th
#5 IUPUI vs. #1 Northern Kentucky
#3 UIC vs. #2 Wright State
Final-Tuesday, March 6th
Wright State had the lead in the conference for most of the season, only stumbling slightly late. Despite this, Wright State beat Northern Kentucky twice in close games. I'll think they'll do it again here and go to the NCAA Tournament.
Wright State 72, Northern Kentucky 70
2018 Championship Week Primer-West Coast
For the last two decades, one team has dominated the West Coast Conference and that is Gonzaga. There have been times when it looked like St. Mary's may upstage the Bulldogs, including this year, but at the end of the season Gonzaga usually is on top. This dominance does not just extend to the WCC; Gonzaga has earned #1 seeds in the NCAA Tournament twice in the last five years and made a run to the National Championship game last year. While Gonzaga is down this year compared to last, they will still be a force to be reckoned with in the tournament.
The West Coast Conference has all ten teams in a four round tournament. The top six seeds received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will be held in Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.
First Round-Friday, March 2nd
#9 Portland vs. #8 Loyola-Marymount
#10 Pepperdine vs. #7 Santa Clara
Quarterfinals-Saturday, March 3rd
#9 Portland vs. #1 Gonzaga
#5 Pacific vs. #4 San Francisco
#7 Santa Clara vs. #2 St. Mary's
#6 San Diego vs. #3 BYU
Semifinals-Sunday, March 4th
#4 San Francisco vs. #1 Gonzaga
#3 BYU vs. #2 St. Mary's
Final-Monday, March 5th
The West Coast Conference is top heavy, with Gonzaga, St. Mary's, and BYU all finishing 1, 2, or 3 for a very long time. It doesn't appear that the other teams of the conference will be able to upstage, leaving the conference final the same as it has been for the last three years prior to this. With the same result as well.
St. Mary's 68, Gonzaga 74
The West Coast Conference has all ten teams in a four round tournament. The top six seeds received a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will be held in Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.
First Round-Friday, March 2nd
#9 Portland vs. #8 Loyola-Marymount
#10 Pepperdine vs. #7 Santa Clara
Quarterfinals-Saturday, March 3rd
#9 Portland vs. #1 Gonzaga
#5 Pacific vs. #4 San Francisco
#7 Santa Clara vs. #2 St. Mary's
#6 San Diego vs. #3 BYU
Semifinals-Sunday, March 4th
#4 San Francisco vs. #1 Gonzaga
#3 BYU vs. #2 St. Mary's
Final-Monday, March 5th
The West Coast Conference is top heavy, with Gonzaga, St. Mary's, and BYU all finishing 1, 2, or 3 for a very long time. It doesn't appear that the other teams of the conference will be able to upstage, leaving the conference final the same as it has been for the last three years prior to this. With the same result as well.
St. Mary's 68, Gonzaga 74
2018 Championship Week Primer-Southern Conference
It has been a long time since a Southern Conference team has won an NCAA Tournament game. The last time a Southern Conference team won in the Big Dance, Steph Curry was leading Davidson on a spirited run to the Elite Eight in 2008. Since then, Davidson has left, leaving the Southern Conference with teams that place in the lower tier of the bracket. This year's champion UNC Greensboro is projected as a 13 or a 14 seed, provided they win the conference tournament.
The Southern Conference will feature all ten teams playing in a four round tournament. The top six seeds won a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the U.S. Cellular Center in Asheville, North Carolina.
First Round-Friday, March 2nd
#9 VMI vs. #8 The Citadel
#10 Chattanooga vs. #7 Samford
Quarterfinals-Saturday, March 3rd
#9 VMI vs. #1 UNC Greensboro
#5 Wofford vs. #4 Mercer
#7 Samford vs. #2 East Tennessee State
#6 Western Carolina vs. #3 Furman
Semifinals-Sunday, March 4th
#4 Mercer vs. #1 UNC Greensboro
#3 Furman vs. #2 East Tennessee State
Final-Monday, March 5th
Mercer and Furman our on long winning streaks coming into the tournament and I expect it to continue right into the final. In two games this year, Furman beat Mercer by three and twelve points and I expect them to win again in this final.
Mercer 67, Furman 73
The Southern Conference will feature all ten teams playing in a four round tournament. The top six seeds won a bye to the quarterfinals. The entire tournament will take place at the U.S. Cellular Center in Asheville, North Carolina.
First Round-Friday, March 2nd
#9 VMI vs. #8 The Citadel
#10 Chattanooga vs. #7 Samford
Quarterfinals-Saturday, March 3rd
#9 VMI vs. #1 UNC Greensboro
#5 Wofford vs. #4 Mercer
#7 Samford vs. #2 East Tennessee State
#6 Western Carolina vs. #3 Furman
Semifinals-Sunday, March 4th
#4 Mercer vs. #1 UNC Greensboro
#3 Furman vs. #2 East Tennessee State
Final-Monday, March 5th
Mercer and Furman our on long winning streaks coming into the tournament and I expect it to continue right into the final. In two games this year, Furman beat Mercer by three and twelve points and I expect them to win again in this final.
Mercer 67, Furman 73
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